August 11, 2026

Ohio 7: Miller Makes a Toss-up

GOP Rep. Max Miller will remain in the race for Ohio’s 7th District, dealing a blow to GOP hopes of holding his suburban Cleveland district. Now that the deadline has passed for Miller to withdraw, Inside Elections is moving the race from Lean Republican to Toss-up. Miller faces accusations from his ex-wife, Emily Moreno, of […]

August 7, 2026

Untangling the Democratic Dark Money Web Funding Independent Candidates

A fisherman in Bristol Bay, Alaska. A Green Beret in Missoula, Montana. Two firefighters, in Eastern Washington and Mequon, Wisconsin. A radiologist in Loma Linda, California.  All are running for Congress as independents in Republican territory. All tout their outsider status. And all are benefitting from millions of dollars in spending by a complex web […]

August 7, 2026

Tennessee Primary Results

Tennessee’s unique Thursday primaries put the Volunteer State in the national spotlight. Most of the action was on the Republican side as another House incumbent was defeated, three Republicans won primaries in GOP districts and will be likely members next year, and a senator is poised to become governor and subsequently appoint her successor. Here’s […]

August 5, 2026

Primary Results in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Virginia and Washington

With just three months to go before the general election, primary voters in five states went to the polls in a batch of consequential Senate, House and gubernatorial races.  While the marquee race was the Democratic Senate primary in Michigan, November matchups are now officially set in Kansas, Missouri, Virginia and Washington as well. Here’s […]

August 3, 2026

Why Trump’s Job Approval Rating Could be Headed Down Again

The good news for Republicans is that President Donald Trump’s job approval rating isn’t getting any worse. The bad news is that many of the issues that drove his rating down in the first place are making their way back into the news, with the midterm elections creeping closer with each passing day. After beginning […]

July 31, 2026

Top 5 Candidates Who Didn’t Run (and Why They Might Affect Senate Majority)

If either party falls a single seat short of a Senate majority in the fall, Republicans and Democrats might end up playing a two-year game of “What If.” On Tuesday, Michigan Democrats will limp to the end of a contentious and expensive Senate primary. Either Rep. Haley Stevens or public health official Abdul El-Sayed will […]