By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin It’s been 20 years since one party flipped both the House and the Senate in the same cycle, but that’s exactly what Democrats are hoping to do in 2026. While Democrats can win the House majority by winning Democratic-leaning and toss-up areas, the party must also win Republican […]
Alabama. Open; Tommy Tuberville (R) running for governor. Primary May 19. Runoff (if necessary) June 16. Trump unexpectedly endorsed 1st District Rep. Barry Moore in the GOP primary, giving the congressman from Enterprise a big boost in the crowded race. Moore, a favorite of the Club for Growth, is running against state Attorney General Steve […]
Kentucky. Open; Mitch McConnell (R), not seeking re-election. Primary May 19. With Trump keeping his distance from the GOP primary so far, the race has not developed significantly. Former state Attorney General Daniel Cameron still polls well ahead of Rep. Andy Barr and Lexington businessman Nate Morris, but he remains at a significant financial disadvantage […]
North Carolina. Open; Thom Tillis (R) not seeking re-election. Primary March 3. Runoff (if necessary) May 12. Former Gov. Roy Cooper may represent Democrats’ best chance at flipping a Senate seat this fall. Cooper is universally known, left office relatively popular, and has demonstrated fundraising ability, pulling in $24 million for his campaign through the […]
California’s 1st District. The special election to replace the late-GOP Rep. Doug LaMalfa will be August 4, the latest possible date that could be set by Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom in accordance with state law. It’s technically possible that a new member could get elected in the June 2 primary, but it’s unlikely that a […]
Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Jonathan Martin of Politico make their bold predictions for 2026, covering the fight for the House, Senate, governors and the beginning of the 2028 presidential race. Jacob and Nathan also cover the can’t miss headlines and latest news in races in Alaska, Florida, Wyoming and New Jersey. Listen to […]
Former Rep. Mary Peltola announced her Senate campaign on Monday, making Alaska a competitive race and giving Democrats a better chance at winning the majority in November. Getting Peltola into the race was a months-long effort for Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer considering the former congresswoman probably had a better chance of getting elected governor […]
Marjorie Taylor Greene’s surprise resignation announcement sent shockwaves through Congress, as the onetime staunch ally of President Donald Trump transformed seemingly overnight into one of his chief antagonists. But the North Georgia congresswoman’s abrupt decision also caught her own district by surprise, triggering a free-for-all special election in early March. More than a dozen candidates […]
Wyoming Sen. Cynthia Lummis’ retirement announcement took Capitol Hill by surprise, and she set off a domino effect in the least populous and most Republican state in the union. But the fight for her seat looks to be a few broncos short of a rodeo. Rep. Harriet Hageman, the state’s lone House member, wasted little […]
By Nathan L. Gonzales The unexpected death of California Republican Doug LaMalfa is a sad reminder of the fragility of the GOP’s House majority on Capitol Hill. In 2024, House Republicans won a 220-215 majority. But that’s with all of the seats filled, and that margin has fluctuated over the past 12 months with four […]
